THE GREAT GENDER DIVERGENCE

GROWING DIVIDES ARE SHAPING THE FUTURE OF POLITICS, NOW

In the year that half the world goes to vote, we are deep diving into trends impacting elections worldwide. Historically, it's widely recognised in public opinion research that each generation tends to shift collectively in its political views and general ideology. Until now. This week’s 52INSIGHTS decodes recent research that reveals that young people today are increasingly diverging politically by gender, rather than just age. With women claiming to be more liberal and men more likely to be conservative, it’s got everyone talking:

GENERATION GENERALISATION:

First up, some context; there is a tendency to bulk all young people together and label them through generational terms, such as Gen Z - today’s 12-27 year olds, born between 1997 and 2012. And while this organisational grouping can be useful, it's not always reflective of the whole picture, particularly as we see increasingly diverging behaviours WITHIN this young generation. Indeed, last year, Pew Research Center, one of the oldest research organisations in the US, said it was removing generational labels to limit further stereotyping and encompass nuances across demographics.

Most noteworthy in terms of the diverging attitudes and behaviours among young people today are the seismic shifts in ideology and outlook, resulting in diverging political beliefs held by young men and women.

Researchers at The Economist analysed data from the European Social Survey, America's General Social Survey, and the Korean Social Survey to study 20 wealthy nations, including the UK. Their findings revealed that young men tend to be more anti-feminist than older men, challenging the widespread belief that each generation becomes progressively more liberal.

In addition, the report found that women have become strikingly more liberal, leading to a wave of reports showcasing this divide, sparking conversations and in some cases… inspiring political strategies.

Source: Financial Times

Source: @PWMMANews on ‘X’

WHAT IS DRIVING THIS PHENOMENON?

Many researchers and journalists are concerned by implications for society at large. As John Burn-Murdoch states,

“In countries on every continent, an ideological gap has opened up between young men and women. Tens of millions of people who occupy the same cities, workplaces, classrooms and even homes no longer see eye-to-eye.”

John Burn-Murdoch - The Financial Times

With these emerging young gender divergences shaping new, interesting and sometimes uncomfortable conversations in workplaces, classrooms and the homes of millions, here’s some certainty amongst the uncertainty:

1. Long-running Injustices are empowering young women to speak out

Some researchers have suggested that the #MeToo movement was a watershed moment when young men and women began to diverge politically. According to Burn-Murdoch this movement gave rise to feminist values among young women who felt empowered to speak out against long-running injustices. This expedited the shift towards liberalism, with today's young women identifying as dramatically more liberal than any preceding generation (Source: Axios).

It’s worth noting, as the NY Times reports that “young men are, in fact, largely supportive of gender equality, though most are reluctant to call themselves feminists….What’s changed is that young women have more of a voice and are more politically active than their male counterparts - a major historical shift as men have heretofore been more politically active than women.”

2. (Social) media bubbles are perpetuating a ‘Gain-Loss’ narrative

Alice Evans, senior lecturer in the Social Science of Development at King's College London has identified one of the key drivers of this shift is the notion of a ‘zero sum mentality’ (where one person's gain would be another's loss) perpetuated by media and online groups that women's rights are coming at the expense of men. This seemingly reigns true with the original report conducted by The Economist and the Korean Social Survey indicating that 80% of South Korean men in their 20s feel that men are discriminated against.

Evans, in an interview with the Australian Broadcasting Company has identified massively divisive media as well as ‘social media filter bubbles’ as the key drivers behind this divide, indicating a pattern in which users engage with one instance of polarised media and as a result are fed further versions of what they now find to be their ‘opposition’, alongside argumentative comments which further feed a sense of righteousness, in a vicious cycle that has already been seen to have drastic effects on the global political stage.

3. Politicians are gaining ground by playing into the gender divide

In the world of politics every trend is a campaign strategy, and this demographic shift has been embraced by both US Presidential Candidates as they seek to court young voters on the countdown to November 5th. Trump and the US Conservative party are targeting young men engaged in these social media echo chambers also referred to as the manosphere to secure the bro vote”.

The bro vote, also known as the “frat-boy flank” is a slice of 18-to-29-year-olds that has long been regarded as unreliable and unreachable, but may just swing the election this year. The campaign is showing up where their audience grows - with Trump featuring on platforms hosted by figures like Theo Von, internet pranksters The Nelk Boys, YouTuber Logan Paul, and Adin Ross, a livestreaming gamer who has faced multiple bans for breaking rules on offensive language.


Source: @PWMMANews on ‘X’

In the final weeks before the Nov. 5 election, the Republican nominee is amping up his hypermasculine tone and support of traditional gender roles, and these appearances are key with Charlie Kirk, founder of Turning Point USA (an advocacy group for conservative values in education) going so far as to say on his podcast “If you are a man in this country and you don’t vote for Donald Trump, you’re not a man”

And while a recent edition of the Harvard Youth Poll among likely voters under 30, showed women overwhelmingly supportive of Kamala Harris, young men (albeit to a lesser degree) also prefer Harris. Team Harris’ strategy appears to be to intensify efforts to win over young female voters by renewing the push for reproductive rights—but also appeal to young men who support gender equality. In a direct response to the Trump campaign’s portrayal of masculinity, "Creatives for Harris" have launched a campaign highlighting that the most manly thing a man can do is respect women’s autonomy.

With just one month remaining until the next U.S. Presidential election, the outcome is still uncertain. As Jennifer Lawless, a politics professor at the University of Virginia, aptly put it, “The gender gap can ultimately sway the election” - New York Times.

KEY TAKEOUTS

Frame Your Narrative around Worldviews
Brand Guardians: In looking to engage with any target, start by understanding their outlook and belief system. Changing attitudes and behaviours of any cohort begins with understanding what people care about and how they view the world.

Seek to exist beyond the filter
Voters: In a world where your search and social feeds are products of your individuals’ consumption, voters should be mindful of their own consumption - clicking on polarising content is a guarantee for only more exposure of the same. For a more rounded perspective, consider following different media outlets and media stars to get a broader sense of outlooks.

NEWS FROM THINKHOUSE

RTÉ This is Art!
THINKHOUSE has launched a new campaign to promote ‘This is Art! 2024’, Ireland’s most exciting art competition for young people, an RTÉ initiative supported by Creative Ireland and the Shared Island Initiative. The creative is inspired by this year’s competition theme: ‘This is Imagination!’

The closing date for entries to ‘This Is Art! 2024’ is midnight Sunday 3rd November 2024.

Check out the resource pack here!

Breakthrough Scholarship:
This month we had the joy of welcoming a new face to our team at THINKHOUSE. Blessing Dosunmu, from Dublin, joins us as the 2024 Breakthrough Scholar. This is the fourth year THINKHOUSE have run the Breakthrough Scholarship in collaboration with TU Dublin and Yugo. Here’s to more breakthrough scholars, increased diversity in our industry and better work for our clients! #SDG10 #ReducedInequalities